Notebook
04
UrbanPending survey

Data Acquisition Plan

Five survey programmes · Terms of Reference · Critical path to DFI approval

Critical path alert

All five survey programmes are on the critical path to AfDB board approval in Q4 2028. The hydrological study and ESIA are the longest-lead items (18 months each). ToRs must be issued this quarter to maintain the programme timeline.

ToR A
Hydrological Study & Stream Gauging
Ministry of Water Resources
CRITICAL
USD 850,000
Month 1 issue · 18-month study

Scope of Work

  • →Establish 4 stream gauging stations in Sheikh highlands catchment
  • →Two full rain seasons data (minimum) for MAR validation
  • →Flood frequency analysis (Q50, Q100, Q500) for dam design
  • →Groundwater baseline in Berbera coastal aquifer
  • →Sediment transport study for dam sedimentation rate

Why this is critical

The dam MAR (Mean Annual Runoff) of 62.4 Mm³/yr is currently modelled from GIS. Physical gauging data is required to validate or revise the dam size and the water balance. AfDB will not approve the water component without at least 12 months of gauging data.

ToR B
UAV Topographic Survey
Municipal Planning Department
CRITICAL
USD 380,000
Month 1–3 issue · 6-month programme

Scope of Work

  • →5 cm GSD orthophoto of full 8,927 ha planning boundary
  • →Digital Terrain Model (DTM) and Digital Surface Model (DSM)
  • →Ground control points established using CORS network
  • →Building footprint extraction and height measurement
  • →Pipeline route corridor survey (320 km × 200m strip)

Why this is critical

All 15 notebooks use SRTM 30m DEM as a placeholder. The 5 cm UAV DTM replaces this in all engineering calculations — pipeline grading, dam catchment, flood modelling, and urban layout.

ToR C
Soils & Agricultural Suitability Survey
Ministry of Agriculture
HIGH
USD 620,000
Month 2–4 issue · 8-month survey

Scope of Work

  • →220 soil survey points in Sheikh highlands (AEZ classification)
  • →Soil salinity profile (ECe) to validate pykrige kriging model
  • →Soil depth, texture, organic matter, pH measurements
  • →Land degradation assessment
  • →Irrigation suitability mapping (AEZ-A, AEZ-B, restricted, excluded)

Why this is critical

AEZ zone boundaries in NB13 are modelled from kriging interpolation. Physical soil surveys validate or revise these boundaries — the 80,000 ha figure and USD 637M/yr revenue projection depend on AEZ classification.

ToR D
Geotechnical Investigation — Dam Site
Ministry of Water Resources
CRITICAL
USD 1,200,000
Month 1–2 issue · 9-month investigation

Scope of Work

  • →Site characterisation: boreholes ×12 to 30m depth
  • →Foundation material classification (USCS)
  • →Seismic hazard assessment (peak ground acceleration)
  • →Reservoir rim stability analysis
  • →Construction material sources investigation

Why this is critical

ICOLD (International Commission on Large Dams) requires full geotechnical investigation for Class II dams. AfDB will not finance the dam without a completed geotechnical report.

ToR E
Environmental and Social Impact Assessment
EPA + Ministry of Finance
CRITICAL
USD 2,500,000
Month 1–3 scoping · 18-month total

Scope of Work

  • →Scoping study and terms of reference (3 months)
  • →Baseline environmental survey (marine, terrestrial, cultural)
  • →Social survey: PAPs (Project-Affected Persons) census
  • →ESMP (Environmental and Social Management Plan)
  • →Public consultation (minimum 3 rounds, bilingual)
  • →Resettlement Action Plan if required

Why this is critical

The ESIA is the longest-lead item — 18 months from scoping to final approval. World Bank ESF and AfDB ESAP standards both require a completed ESIA before board presentation. The clock starts with ToR issue.

Survey Programme Budget Summary

ToRStudyBudgetDurationCritical path?Lead agency
ToR AHydrological studyUSD 850k18 monthsYesMWR
ToR BUAV topographic surveyUSD 380k6 monthsYesMunicipal Planning
ToR CSoils & agricultureUSD 620k8 monthsNoMinistry of Agriculture
ToR DGeotechnical (dam)USD 1,200k9 monthsYesMWR
ToR EESIAUSD 2,500k18 monthsYesEPA + MoF
TOTAL—USD 5,550k———
Request AfDB PPF (Project Preparation Facility) grant alongside Concept Note — PPF covers survey costs

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